Skepticism, Probability, and Common Sense

Imagine hearing that someone has just won the lottery three times in the same year, or a golfer has hit five consecutive holes-in-one!

We approach such improbable stories with healthy skepticism.

Considering the formation of the first living cell by a perfect arrangement of carbohydrates, fats, proteins, and genetic material in a 'warm pond', Nobel Prize winner, Francis Crick, said: "... it seems almost impossible to give any numerical value to the probability of what seems a rather unlikely sequence of events .... An honest man ... could only state that in some sense, the origin of life appears at the moment to be almost a miracle ..."

The evolutionist Robert Shapiro at this point would prefer to abandon all skepticism, "Why need the event have been probable? We can just stare at the odds, shrug, and note with thanks how lucky we were ..."

When we abandon healthy skepticism, only gullibility remains—to invoke miracles without God.

Related Content